{"added_load":{"assumptions":["added_load.constant"],"basis":"An illustrative constant 300 MW chosen for this example; it stands for no actual proposal, customer or forecast","evidence":"modeled","max_mwh":300.0,"method":"derived","missing_reason":null,"power":{"unit":"MW","value":300.0},"profile":"constant","total_mwh":72000.0,"unit":"MWh","values":[300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0,300.0]},"assumptions":{"added_load.constant":"The added load draws 300 MW in every hour: 72,000 MWh in the window. Peak equals average; no ramp-up, in service for the whole window.","calculation.as_reported":"Everything else stays as reported: existing generation, imports and every other customer's demand. No network, price, unit commitment or solver.","efficiency.annual_spread":"Puget Sound Energy Inc's filed 2024 incremental annual energy savings, 258,144.724 MWh (EIA-861 Schedule 6 Part A line 1, the filer's own total row), are taken as one more year of measures of that size in place in the window and spread evenly over the 8,784 hours of 2024: 29.388 MWh less zone demand in every hour. The filed incremental peak reduction, 43.279 MW at the annual system peak hour, is shown beside it and never used as energy. Measure life does not enter; no share of sales or of demand is formed.","shifting.upper_bound":"In each Pacific day, 50% of the added load in the day's 8 hours of highest reported PSEI demand moves evenly into the day's other hours; the day's energy is unchanged. The rule knows each day's demand in advance (perfect foresight), so it is an upper bound on what a schedule could do. Existing customers do not shift.","storage.surplus_only":"300 MW, 1,200 MWh usable (4 hours), round trip 0.82, starting empty. It charges only from the choices' own surplus, never from the grid, and discharges whenever they fall short, hour by hour, with no foresight. Losses are taken on charging. No degradation, auxiliary load or reserve; state of charge stays between 0 and 1,200 MWh.","wind.scaled_shape":"Wind shaped as PSEI's reported hourly wind, scaled so its 2023 energy equals the added load's over the same hours: k = 300 MW × 8,760 h ÷ 1,188,772 MWh = 2.2107 MWh of wind per reported MWh. Same place and weather as PSEI's existing wind, with its reported curtailment and outages. The series is energy: no nameplate MW or capacity factor is asserted, and it is not a project, site or interconnection."},"available":true,"baseline":{"ba_code":"PSEI","balance_residual":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"demand":[2901.0,2837.0,2815.0,2871.0,3039.0,3316.0,3691.0,3941.0,3980.0,3957.0,3892.0,3821.0,3777.0,3728.0,3699.0,3753.0,3917.0,4113.0,4101.0,4026.0,3895.0,3685.0,3402.0,3157.0,3012.0,2929.0,2900.0,2928.0,3084.0,3378.0,3789.0,4050.0,4098.0,4051.0,4007.0,3925.0,3884.0,3826.0,3795.0,3904.0,4185.0,4431.0,4430.0,4381.0,4303.0,4124.0,3870.0,3666.0,3576.0,3538.0,3554.0,3635.0,3805.0,4105.0,4484.0,4798.0,4953.0,5001.0,4992.0,4940.0,4902.0,4818.0,4783.0,4866.0,5088.0,5293.0,5244.0,5144.0,5025.0,4824.0,4589.0,4404.0,4283.0,4229.0,4214.0,4245.0,4299.0,4440.0,4618.0,4834.0,4999.0,5106.0,5136.0,5104.0,5033.0,4965.0,4898.0,4895.0,4997.0,5136.0,5092.0,4982.0,4872.0,4692.0,4465.0,4280.0,4169.0,4129.0,4097.0,4129.0,4188.0,4321.0,4506.0,4706.0,4872.0,4899.0,4802.0,4696.0,4582.0,4490.0,4400.0,4408.0,4562.0,4793.0,4801.0,4728.0,4632.0,4461.0,4232.0,4061.0,3957.0,3931.0,3944.0,3990.0,4113.0,4355.0,4625.0,4843.0,4955.0,4947.0,4859.0,4705.0,4566.0,4441.0,4406.0,4453.0,4614.0,4869.0,4816.0,4748.0,4628.0,4410.0,4112.0,3906.0,3794.0,3753.0,3779.0,3848.0,4032.0,4318.0,4712.0,4978.0,4987.0,4881.0,4726.0,4564.0,4453.0,4356.0,4301.0,4351.0,4529.0,4714.0,4646.0,4533.0,4376.0,4145.0,3838.0,3603.0,3448.0,3384.0,3354.0,3390.0,3516.0,3769.0,4077.0,4301.0,4395.0,4409.0,4418.0,4377.0,4361.0,4297.0,4247.0,4265.0,4354.0,4500.0,4434.0,4302.0,4168.0,3935.0,3658.0,3426.0,3294.0,3227.0,3210.0,3257.0,3384.0,3657.0,3978.0,4209.0,4299.0,4340.0,4339.0,4327.0,4314.0,4294.0,4257.0,4273.0,4388.0,4515.0,4438.0,4315.0,4160.0,3934.0,3653.0,3408.0,3254.0,3162.0,3142.0,3171.0,3292.0,3538.0,3872.0,4116.0,4170.0,4134.0,4102.0,4051.0,4003.0,3939.0,3882.0,3850.0,3965.0,4125.0,4052.0,3943.0,3821.0,3649.0,3444.0,3233.0],"demand_max_hour":"2024-01-13T02:00:00Z","demand_max_mwh":5293.0,"evidence":"reported","flagged":{"demand":[],"interchange":[],"net_generation":[]},"from":"episodes/january-2024-cold-spell.json; authorities[ba_code=PSEI]","hours_not_closing":0,"hours_without_residual":0,"interchange":[-1714.0,-1661.0,-1655.0,-1672.0,-1675.0,-1905.0,-2310.0,-2597.0,-2660.0,-2647.0,-2650.0,-2686.0,-2665.0,-2647.0,-2579.0,-2583.0,-2669.0,-2904.0,-2874.0,-2847.0,-2772.0,-2521.0,-2160.0,-1830.0,-1749.0,-1673.0,-1651.0,-1793.0,-1897.0,-2129.0,-2536.0,-2721.0,-2683.0,-2642.0,-2617.0,-2633.0,-2702.0,-2666.0,-2641.0,-2726.0,-2830.0,-3071.0,-3084.0,-3034.0,-2967.0,-2909.0,-2697.0,-2541.0,-2482.0,-2451.0,-2527.0,-2635.0,-2627.0,-2857.0,-3219.0,-3489.0,-3623.0,-3629.0,-3593.0,-3499.0,-3374.0,-3244.0,-3192.0,-3295.0,-3538.0,-3757.0,-3695.0,-3628.0,-3535.0,-3374.0,-3139.0,-3010.0,-2939.0,-2852.0,-2868.0,-2912.0,-2956.0,-3152.0,-3297.0,-3500.0,-3605.0,-3739.0,-3766.0,-3750.0,-3671.0,-3586.0,-3513.0,-3521.0,-3607.0,-3771.0,-3746.0,-3636.0,-3567.0,-3368.0,-3161.0,-2998.0,-2993.0,-2948.0,-2885.0,-2857.0,-2886.0,-3021.0,-3313.0,-3526.0,-3609.0,-3653.0,-3540.0,-3418.0,-3273.0,-3112.0,-2968.0,-2983.0,-3162.0,-3452.0,-3452.0,-3352.0,-3338.0,-3203.0,-2927.0,-2653.0,-2573.0,-2620.0,-2632.0,-2681.0,-2794.0,-2946.0,-3243.0,-3491.0,-3615.0,-3605.0,-3514.0,-3366.0,-3229.0,-3108.0,-3076.0,-3126.0,-3332.0,-3538.0,-3473.0,-3474.0,-3303.0,-3139.0,-2879.0,-2634.0,-2485.0,-2462.0,-2431.0,-2492.0,-2665.0,-2968.0,-3422.0,-3679.0,-3680.0,-3554.0,-3399.0,-3190.0,-3113.0,-2941.0,-2880.0,-2940.0,-3097.0,-3272.0,-3212.0,-3093.0,-2975.0,-2795.0,-2493.0,-2262.0,-2153.0,-2100.0,-2065.0,-2105.0,-2226.0,-2394.0,-2694.0,-2920.0,-3042.0,-3193.0,-3328.0,-3255.0,-3228.0,-3156.0,-3167.0,-3192.0,-3196.0,-3377.0,-3346.0,-3102.0,-3042.0,-2795.0,-2531.0,-2305.0,-2157.0,-2066.0,-1984.0,-2028.0,-2146.0,-2316.0,-2590.0,-2772.0,-2972.0,-3022.0,-3008.0,-2976.0,-2955.0,-3055.0,-2929.0,-2718.0,-2825.0,-2925.0,-2851.0,-2752.0,-2632.0,-2542.0,-2290.0,-2080.0,-1912.0,-1853.0,-1823.0,-1885.0,-2025.0,-2242.0,-2494.0,-2685.0,-2735.0,-2721.0,-2719.0,-2680.0,-2732.0,-2689.0,-2629.0,-2598.0,-2697.0,-2874.0,-2731.0,-2709.0,-2617.0,-2455.0,-2249.0,-2127.0],"interchange_basis":"Positive is net outflow from the zone; a negative value is a net import, the bound on what beyond the added load is credited as.","method":"direct","name":"Puget Sound Energy","net_generation":[1187.0,1176.0,1160.0,1199.0,1364.0,1411.0,1381.0,1344.0,1320.0,1310.0,1242.0,1135.0,1112.0,1081.0,1120.0,1170.0,1248.0,1209.0,1227.0,1179.0,1123.0,1164.0,1242.0,1327.0,1263.0,1256.0,1249.0,1135.0,1187.0,1249.0,1253.0,1329.0,1415.0,1409.0,1390.0,1292.0,1182.0,1160.0,1154.0,1178.0,1355.0,1360.0,1346.0,1347.0,1336.0,1215.0,1173.0,1125.0,1094.0,1087.0,1027.0,1000.0,1178.0,1248.0,1265.0,1309.0,1330.0,1372.0,1399.0,1441.0,1528.0,1574.0,1591.0,1571.0,1550.0,1536.0,1549.0,1516.0,1490.0,1450.0,1450.0,1394.0,1344.0,1377.0,1346.0,1333.0,1343.0,1288.0,1321.0,1334.0,1394.0,1367.0,1370.0,1354.0,1362.0,1379.0,1385.0,1374.0,1390.0,1365.0,1346.0,1346.0,1305.0,1324.0,1304.0,1282.0,1176.0,1181.0,1212.0,1272.0,1302.0,1300.0,1193.0,1180.0,1263.0,1246.0,1262.0,1278.0,1309.0,1378.0,1432.0,1425.0,1400.0,1341.0,1349.0,1376.0,1294.0,1258.0,1305.0,1408.0,1384.0,1311.0,1312.0,1309.0,1319.0,1409.0,1382.0,1352.0,1340.0,1342.0,1345.0,1339.0,1337.0,1333.0,1330.0,1327.0,1282.0,1331.0,1343.0,1274.0,1325.0,1271.0,1233.0,1272.0,1309.0,1291.0,1348.0,1356.0,1367.0,1350.0,1290.0,1299.0,1307.0,1327.0,1327.0,1374.0,1340.0,1415.0,1421.0,1411.0,1432.0,1442.0,1434.0,1440.0,1401.0,1350.0,1345.0,1341.0,1295.0,1284.0,1289.0,1285.0,1290.0,1375.0,1383.0,1381.0,1353.0,1216.0,1090.0,1122.0,1133.0,1141.0,1080.0,1073.0,1158.0,1123.0,1088.0,1200.0,1126.0,1140.0,1127.0,1121.0,1137.0,1161.0,1226.0,1229.0,1238.0,1341.0,1388.0,1437.0,1327.0,1318.0,1331.0,1351.0,1359.0,1239.0,1328.0,1555.0,1563.0,1590.0,1587.0,1563.0,1528.0,1392.0,1363.0,1328.0,1342.0,1309.0,1319.0,1286.0,1267.0,1296.0,1378.0,1431.0,1435.0,1413.0,1383.0,1371.0,1271.0,1250.0,1253.0,1252.0,1268.0,1251.0,1321.0,1234.0,1204.0,1194.0,1195.0,1106.0],"source_ref":"pudl-930-operations","unit":"MWh"},"boundary":[{"text":"One historical window, not a probabilistic study. Not met by these choices is energy the existing system would have had to supply; the calculation cannot say whether it could have. No statement that the utility, the zone or the Northwest could or could not serve such a load.","topic":"adequacy"},{"text":"No network, path limit or transfer capability. Reported imports only bound what beyond the added load is credited as; they are not a claim that more imports were available.","topic":"line headroom"},{"text":"Existing generation and imports stay as reported. No unit commitment, price or market. The storage schedule is a stated rule, not an optimum, and the shifting rule uses foresight a real schedule lacks.","topic":"dispatch"},{"text":"No hydro, river or fish effects. The episode's river section is context and never an input.","topic":"ecology"},{"text":"No cost, price, bill or emission. Not a forecast, a plan or the utility's position. The added wind is not a project and has no nameplate.","topic":"cost, emissions and forecasts"}],"calculation":["For each case and hour, in window order, every quantity is MWh in the hour-ending interval. The added load (after shifting, if on) less efficiency and wind (if on) is the net need.","Storage (if on): where the need is positive it discharges the least of the need, its power and its stored energy; where it is negative it charges the least of the surplus, its power and its free space divided by the round trip. Never both in one hour; losses are taken on charging.","Not met by these choices is the need left after discharge, and beyond the added load the surplus left after charging; at most one is above 0 in an hour.","Zone demand left to existing generation and imports is the zone's reported demand plus not met minus beyond.","A null input hour makes that hour's outputs null with the reason, and a storage state does not continue past it: later hours are null too. With shifting on, a null load or demand hour leaves its whole local day unranked, so every hour of that day is null. Nothing is zero-filled.","Sums run in ascending order over unrounded values; every value is published to 0.001 MWh. Replays are 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load's","source_refs":["pudl-930-generation"],"unit":"MWh","values":[751.633,736.158,707.419,771.529,775.95,771.529,696.366,641.099,585.831,557.093,395.713,187.908,128.22,132.641,165.801,282.968,223.279,121.588,156.959,68.531,163.591,247.597,433.294,667.627,769.318,782.582,798.057,579.199,621.202,760.476,745.001,804.689,813.532,787.004,747.211,519.511,276.336,216.647,198.962,271.914,448.769,464.244,424.451,424.451,420.03,373.606,287.389,245.386,187.908,194.54,176.855,143.695,137.062,152.537,170.223,170.223,183.487,190.119,245.386,333.813,313.917,406.766,442.137,402.345,347.077,322.76,344.867,276.336,229.911,152.537,143.695,139.273,97.27,70.742,46.424,53.056,35.371,39.792,75.163,101.691,81.795,39.792,35.371,42.003,30.95,46.424,86.217,134.852,154.748,112.745,59.688,61.899,33.16,11.053,6.632,4.421,2.211,2.211,2.211,4.421,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,4.421,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,2.211,4.421,2.211,2.211,17.685,19.896,13.264,26.528,13.264,59.688,126.009,143.695,192.33,185.698,128.22,70.742,30.95,30.95,22.107,15.475,8.843,4.421,6.632,0.0,8.843,15.475,59.688,35.371,15.475,6.632,15.475,11.053,22.107,28.739,33.16,66.321,72.953,57.478,99.481,161.38,179.065,214.436,240.965,232.122,227.701,216.647,229.911,245.386,254.229,274.125,267.493,267.493,254.229,258.65,247.597,256.439,252.018,254.229,256.439,256.439,256.439,256.439,254.229,254.229,254.229,254.229,254.229,245.386,190.119,324.971,126.009,154.748,291.81,218.858,141.484,117.166,141.484,170.223,128.22,126.009,154.748,212.226,362.552,364.763,389.08,395.713,495.193,625.624,570.357,546.039,550.46,581.41,596.885,565.935,592.463,645.52,636.677,696.366,689.734,636.677,579.199,497.404,455.401,389.08,413.398,338.235,358.131,289.6,238.754,305.074,278.546,227.701,229.911,196.751,126.009,92.849,70.742,30.95,39.792,44.214,81.795,42.003,37.582,37.582,30.95,35.371,42.003,22.107]},{"assumptions":["storage.surplus_only"],"available":true,"evidence":"modeled","key":"storage","label":"Storage","method":"derived","missing":[],"parameters":{"duration":{"unit":"h","value":4.0},"energy":{"unit":"MWh","value":1200.0},"power":{"unit":"MW","value":300.0},"round_trip":{"citation":"round_trip","unit":"fraction","value":0.82},"start":{"unit":"MWh","value":0.0}},"reason":null,"setting":"300 MW, 1,200 MWh usable, round trip 0.82, starting empty","source_refs":[],"unit":"MWh","values":null,"values_basis":"Storage has no series of its own; each case with storage carries its charge, discharge and state of charge"}],"citations":[{"checked":"2026-09-28","claim":"EIA's Today in Energy, from 2019 EIA-923 data: the US utility-scale battery fleet's average monthly round-trip efficiency was 82% (pumped storage 79%); the weighted average battery duration was 1.5 hours.","id":"round_trip","published":"2021-02-12","publisher":"U.S. Energy Information Administration","title":"Utility-scale batteries and pumped storage return about 80% of the electricity they store","url":"https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46756"}],"definitions":{"beyond":"Beyond the added load: energy the choices supplied in an hour beyond what the added load needed, after storage charged. It reads as lower imports only where it is at most the hour's reported import; an hour where it is more is counted and labelled, never credited as an export.","demand_left":"Zone demand left to existing generation and imports: the zone's reported demand plus not met minus beyond. Because the zone's own reports balance in every hour, its reported demand equals its reported net generation minus interchange.","not_met":"Not met by these choices: energy the added load needed in an hour that the chosen efficiency, wind and storage did not supply, so the existing system would have had to supply it. It is not load shed, an outage or a shortfall, and the calculation cannot say whether the existing system could have supplied it."},"episode":{"available":true,"id":"january-2024-cold-spell","path":"episodes/january-2024-cold-spell.json","title":"January 2024 cold spell"},"evidence":"modeled","evidence_sources":[{"convention":"balancing authority x UTC hour (hour-ending)","evidence":"reported","inputs":[{"edition":"PUDL v2026.9.0 (embedded 2026.8.1.dev50)","resource":"core_eia930__hourly_operations","retrieved_at":"2026-09-29T04:56:25Z","sha256":"df8010232f98c14882b83d34a8a31003c5ed91d9990a3e845d3e4841db9ac5a9","url":"https://s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/pudl.catalyst.coop/v2026.9.0/core_eia930__hourly_operations.parquet"}],"locator":"episode january-2024-cold-spell authorities[ba_code=PSEI] (ba_hourly_930, EIA-replaced hours left out); ba_monthly_930 ba_code=PSEI for a demand-shaped load","method":"direct","note":"Reported values as filed; EIA-adjusted and EIA-imputed columns kept beside them and never substituted for a reported value. An EIA-imputed value beside a reported one is EIA's mark that it replaced that report. Every marked demand hour is left out of every sum, mean and hours count and counted as flagged; a marked net-generation or interchange hour only when it is at least 1.5 times the largest unmarked magnitude of the authority's year, the others staying as reported. Frame authorities only enter the release.","origin":"U.S. EIA Form 930 Hourly and Daily Balancing Authority Operations Report: demand, net generation, total interchange, day-ahead demand forecast per balancing authority and UTC hour","origin_url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/gridmonitor/","resource":"core_eia930__hourly_operations","source_ref":"pudl-930-operations","tables":["episodes/january-2024-cold-spell.json","tables/ba_hourly_930.parquet","tables/ba_monthly_930.parquet"]},{"convention":"balancing authority x energy source x UTC hour (hour-ending)","evidence":"reported","inputs":[{"edition":"PUDL v2026.9.0 (embedded 2026.8.1.dev50)","resource":"core_eia930__hourly_net_generation_by_energy_source","retrieved_at":"2026-09-29T04:56:28Z","sha256":"01a1706bdba66e3edb20250e3304d09d3714a8a47aeecaefaa73fb2e56836d4c","url":"https://s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/pudl.catalyst.coop/v2026.9.0/core_eia930__hourly_net_generation_by_energy_source.parquet"}],"locator":"core_eia930__hourly_net_generation_by_energy_source.parquet; generation_energy_source=wind; the window of episode january-2024-cold-spell; and ba_generation_monthly_930 for the reference years","method":"direct","note":"EIA's energy-source categories as published; the 2024Q3 taxonomy change (battery storage, geothermal, hybrids) is kept as separate categories, never merged. A reported hour EIA marked (its imputed value beside the report) is left out of the monthly sums and counted as flagged when it is at least 1.5 times the largest unmarked magnitude of that authority's source and year, never substituted; other marked hours stay as reported","origin":"U.S. EIA Form 930: net generation by energy source per balancing authority and UTC hour","origin_url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/gridmonitor/","resource":"core_eia930__hourly_net_generation_by_energy_source","source_ref":"pudl-930-generation","tables":["tables/ba_generation_monthly_930.parquet"]},{"convention":"utility x state x balancing authority x customer class (residential, commercial, industrial, transportation, and the filer's own total) x report year","evidence":"reported","inputs":[{"edition":"PUDL v2026.9.0 (embedded 2026.8.1.dev50)","resource":"core_eia861__yearly_energy_efficiency","retrieved_at":"2026-09-29T04:55:09Z","sha256":"91e7d43da0737fd97844e72fc2039dacf4a867c0e49cd8f920283118ceeb77a5","url":"https://s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/pudl.catalyst.coop/v2026.9.0/core_eia861__yearly_energy_efficiency.parquet"}],"locator":"customer_programme; utility_id_eia=15500; state=WA; ba_code=PSEI; year=2024; customer_class=total","method":"direct","note":"Adjusted gross savings at the customer meter under each utility's own evaluation; not comparable across utilities. Reporting-year incremental annual savings (MWh, MW) and incremental life-cycle savings (MWh as a lump sum over the programmes' life; MW as the average annual peak reduction over that life) are separate lines and never merged. Costs are reported in thousands of dollars on the form and published by PUDL in dollars, nominal for the report year. The total row is the filer's own and is never recomputed from the classes. The descriptor declares no primary key; the build checks the native key above. A utility whose programmes a listed nonutility DSM administrator runs (Energy Trust of Oregon here) does not complete Part A; the administrator files under its own id. Form EIA-861S asks only whether the company administered DSM programmes: no figures. PUDL's `other` class never carries a value and is not loaded.","origin":"U.S. EIA Form 861 Schedule 6 Part A, energy efficiency programs: reporting-year incremental and incremental life-cycle savings and costs and the portfolio's weighted average life, by customer sector, as each utility (or its nonutility DSM administrator) files them (utility x state x BA x customer class x year)","origin_url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/","resource":"core_eia861__yearly_energy_efficiency","source_ref":"pudl-eia861-energy-efficiency","tables":["tables/customer_programme.parquet"]}],"hours":["2024-01-10T09:00:00Z","2024-01-10T10:00:00Z","2024-01-10T11:00:00Z","2024-01-10T12:00:00Z","2024-01-10T13:00:00Z","2024-01-10T14:00:00Z","2024-01-10T15:00:00Z","2024-01-10T16:00:00Z","2024-01-10T17:00:00Z","2024-01-10T18:00:00Z","2024-01-10T19:00:00Z","2024-01-10T20:00:00Z","2024-01-10T21:00:00Z","2024-01-10T22:00:00Z","2024-01-10T23:00:00Z","2024-01-11T00:00:00Z","2024-01-11T01:00:00Z","2024-01-11T02:00:00Z","2024-01-11T03:00:00Z","2024-01-11T04:00:00Z","2024-01-11T05:00:00Z","2024-01-11T06:00:00Z","2024-01-11T07:00:00Z","2024-01-11T08:00:00Z","2024-01-11T09:00:00Z","2024-01-11T10:00:00Z","2024-01-11T11:00:00Z","2024-01-11T12:00:00Z","2024-01-11T13:00:00Z","2024-01-11T14:00:00Z","2024-01-11T15:00:00Z","2024-01-11T16:00:00Z","2024-01-11T17:00:00Z","2024-01-11T18:00:00Z","2024-01-11T19:00:00Z","2024-01-11T20:00:00Z","2024-01-11T21:00:00Z","2024-01-11T22:00:00Z","2024-01-11T23:00:00Z","2024-01-12T00:00:00Z","2024-01-12T01:00:00Z","2024-01-12T02:00:00Z","2024-01-12T03:00:00Z","2024-01-12T04:00:00Z","2024-01-12T05:00:00Z","2024-01-12T06:00:00Z","2024-01-12T07:00:00Z","2024-01-12T08:00:00Z","2024-01-12T09:00:00Z","2024-01-12T10:00:00Z","2024-01-12T11:00:00Z","2024-01-12T12:00:00Z","2024-01-12T13:00:00Z","2024-01-12T14:00:00Z","2024-01-12T15:00:00Z","2024-01-12T16:00:00Z","2024-01-12T17:00:00Z","2024-01-12T18:00:00Z","2024-01-12T19:00:00Z","2024-01-12T20:00:00Z","2024-01-12T21:00:00Z","2024-01-12T22:00:00Z","2024-01-12T23:00:00Z","2024-01-13T00:00:00Z","2024-01-13T01:00:00Z","2024-01-13T02:00:00Z","2024-01-13T03:00:00Z","2024-01-13T04:00:00Z","2024-01-13T05:00:00Z","2024-01-13T06:00:00Z","2024-01-13T07:00:00Z","2024-01-13T08:00:00Z","2024-01-13T09:00:00Z","2024-01-13T10:00:00Z","2024-01-13T11:00:00Z","2024-01-13T12:00:00Z","2024-01-13T13:00:00Z","2024-01-13T14:00:00Z","2024-01-13T15:00:00Z","2024-01-13T16:00:00Z","2024-01-13T17:00:00Z","2024-01-13T18:00:00Z","2024-01-13T19:00:00Z","2024-01-13T20:00:00Z","2024-01-13T21:00:00Z","2024-01-13T22:00:00Z","2024-01-13T23:00:00Z","2024-01-14T00:00:00Z","2024-01-14T01:00:00Z","2024-01-14T02:00:00Z","2024-01-14T03:00:00Z","2024-01-14T04:00:00Z","2024-01-14T05:00:00Z","2024-01-14T06:00:00Z","2024-01-14T07:00:00Z","2024-01-14T08:00:00Z","2024-01-14T09:00:00Z","2024-01-14T10:00:00Z","2024-01-14T11:00:00Z","2024-01-14T12:00:00Z","2024-01-14T13:00:00Z","2024-01-14T14:00:00Z","2024-01-14T15:00:00Z","2024-01-14T16:00:00Z","2024-01-14T17:00:00Z","2024-01-14T18:00:00Z","2024-01-14T19:00:00Z","2024-01-14T20:00:00Z","2024-01-14T21:00:00Z","2024-01-14T22:00:00Z","2024-01-14T23:00:00Z","2024-01-15T00:00:00Z","2024-01-15T01:00:00Z","2024-01-15T02:00:00Z","2024-01-15T03:00:00Z","2024-01-15T04:00:00Z","2024-01-15T05:00:00Z","2024-01-15T06:00:00Z","2024-01-15T07:00:00Z","2024-01-15T08:00:00Z","2024-01-15T09:00:00Z","2024-01-15T10:00:00Z","2024-01-15T11:00:00Z","2024-01-15T12:00:00Z","2024-01-15T13:00:00Z","2024-01-15T14:00:00Z","2024-01-15T15:00:00Z","2024-01-15T16:00:00Z","2024-01-15T17:00:00Z","2024-01-15T18:00:00Z","2024-01-15T19:00:00Z","2024-01-15T20:00:00Z","2024-01-15T21:00:00Z","2024-01-15T22:00:00Z","2024-01-15T23:00:00Z","2024-01-16T00:00:00Z","2024-01-16T01:00:00Z","2024-01-16T02:00:00Z","2024-01-16T03:00:00Z","2024-01-16T04:00:00Z","2024-01-16T05:00:00Z","2024-01-16T06:00:00Z","2024-01-16T07:00:00Z","2024-01-16T08:00:00Z","2024-01-16T09:00:00Z","2024-01-16T10:00:00Z","2024-01-16T11:00:00Z","2024-01-16T12:00:00Z","2024-01-16T13:00:00Z","2024-01-16T14:00:00Z","2024-01-16T15:00:00Z","2024-01-16T16:00:00Z","2024-01-16T17:00:00Z","2024-01-16T18:00:00Z","2024-01-16T19:00:00Z","2024-01-16T20:00:00Z","2024-01-16T21:00:00Z","2024-01-16T22:00:00Z","2024-01-16T23:00:00Z","2024-01-17T00:00:00Z","2024-01-17T01:00:00Z","2024-01-17T02:00:00Z","2024-01-17T03:00:00Z","2024-01-17T04:00:00Z","2024-01-17T05:00:00Z","2024-01-17T06:00:00Z","2024-01-17T07:00:00Z","2024-01-17T08:00:00Z","2024-01-17T09:00:00Z","2024-01-17T10:00:00Z","2024-01-17T11:00:00Z","2024-01-17T12:00:00Z","2024-01-17T13:00:00Z","2024-01-17T14:00:00Z","2024-01-17T15:00:00Z","2024-01-17T16:00:00Z","2024-01-17T17:00:00Z","2024-01-17T18:00:00Z","2024-01-17T19:00:00Z","2024-01-17T20:00:00Z","2024-01-17T21:00:00Z","2024-01-17T22:00:00Z","2024-01-17T23:00:00Z","2024-01-18T00:00:00Z","2024-01-18T01:00:00Z","2024-01-18T02:00:00Z","2024-01-18T03:00:00Z","2024-01-18T04:00:00Z","2024-01-18T05:00:00Z","2024-01-18T06:00:00Z","2024-01-18T07:00:00Z","2024-01-18T08:00:00Z","2024-01-18T09:00:00Z","2024-01-18T10:00:00Z","2024-01-18T11:00:00Z","2024-01-18T12:00:00Z","2024-01-18T13:00:00Z","2024-01-18T14:00:00Z","2024-01-18T15:00:00Z","2024-01-18T16:00:00Z","2024-01-18T17:00:00Z","2024-01-18T18:00:00Z","2024-01-18T19:00:00Z","2024-01-18T20:00:00Z","2024-01-18T21:00:00Z","2024-01-18T22:00:00Z","2024-01-18T23:00:00Z","2024-01-19T00:00: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the added load","demand_left":"Zone demand left to existing generation and imports","not_met":"Not met by these choices"},"method":"derived","question":"Suppose a constant 300 MW load had been running in Puget Sound Energy's balancing authority through the January 2024 cold spell. Hour by hour, how much of it could efficiency, demand shifting, new wind and a battery have met, and how much would have been left to the generation and imports the area already had?","reason":null,"release_id":"20260929T050546Z-51ae0f7d3c78","scales":{"basis":"Fixed across the sixteen cases, so switching a choice never rescales a chart","demand":{"max":5593.0,"min":2370.083},"energy":{"max":813.532,"min":0.0},"state_of_charge":{"max":1200.0,"min":0.0},"unit":"MWh"},"schema_version":"1.41.0","sensitivities":[{"applies_to":null,"base_value":"constant","cases":["none","efficiency","shifting","wind","storage","efficiency-shifting","efficiency-wind","efficiency-storage","shifting-wind","shifting-storage","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind","efficiency-shifting-storage","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"load-shaped-like-demand","label":"Added load shaped like the zone's demand","parameter":"added_load.profile","value":"zone_demand"},{"applies_to":"wind","base_value":"PSEI","cases":["wind","efficiency-wind","shifting-wind","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"wind-shaped-like-ava","label":"Wind shaped like Avista's","parameter":"wind.authority","value":"AVA"},{"applies_to":"wind","base_value":2023,"cases":["wind","efficiency-wind","shifting-wind","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"reference-year-2022","label":"Reference year 2022","parameter":"reference_year","value":2022},{"applies_to":"wind","base_value":2023,"cases":["wind","efficiency-wind","shifting-wind","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"reference-year-2021","label":"Reference year 2021","parameter":"reference_year","value":2021},{"applies_to":"storage","base_value":4,"cases":["storage","efficiency-storage","shifting-storage","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-storage","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"storage-8-hours","label":"Storage of 8 hours","parameter":"storage.duration_hours","value":8},{"applies_to":"storage","base_value":0,"cases":["storage","efficiency-storage","shifting-storage","wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-storage","efficiency-wind-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"storage-starts-full","label":"Storage starts full","parameter":"storage.start","value":1},{"applies_to":"shifting","base_value":0.5,"cases":["shifting","efficiency-shifting","shifting-wind","shifting-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind","efficiency-shifting-storage","shifting-wind-storage","efficiency-shifting-wind-storage"],"id":"shifting-25-percent","label":"Shifting a quarter","parameter":"shifting.share","value":0.25}],"statement":"Every output here is modeled: a stated calculation over one historical window, not an observation, a forecast or a plan. The reported hours it starts from are shown as reported.","title":"A 300 MW added load in Puget Sound Energy's area, January 2024","unit":"MWh","unit_basis":"Energy in the hour-ending UTC interval. A MWh in one hour is numerically the average MW over that hour, so the added load's 300 MWh in every hour is a constant 300 MW.","window":{"convention":"balancing authority x UTC hour (hour-ending)","days":[{"date":"2024-01-10","first_index":0,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-11","first_index":24,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-12","first_index":48,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-13","first_index":72,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-14","first_index":96,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-15","first_index":120,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-16","first_index":144,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-17","first_index":168,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-18","first_index":192,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"},{"date":"2024-01-19","first_index":216,"hours":24,"timezone":"America/Los_Angeles"}],"end":"2024-01-20T08:00:00Z","first_hour":"2024-01-10T09:00:00Z","hours":240,"last_hour":"2024-01-20T08:00:00Z","rule":"The window is the half-open UTC interval [start, end). The source stamps an hour at its end, so the window holds the hours stamped after start up to and including end.","start":"2024-01-10T08:00:00Z"},"zone":{"ba_code":"PSEI","closes":true,"name":"Puget Sound Energy","rule":"The zone's reported net generation minus demand minus total interchange is 0 MWh (at 0.001 MWh) in every window hour where all three are reported. Otherwise the scenario is not available, because the demand left would no longer equal reported supply."}}